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Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary for January 15, 2016

Wells Fargo Securities Economics Group

26 January 2016

U.S. Economic Outlook Faces Downside Risks:

  • Equity markets continued to feel jitters during the week amid global headwinds,
  • Although headline retail sales in December were in line with expectation
  • Industrial production also declined more than expect
  • Brent crude hits 12-year low

Modest Pace of Growth Continues in Western Europe:

  • Industrial production in the Eurozone fell 0.7 percent in November
  • Industrial production in the United Kingdom was also weak in November,

Interest Rate Watch: TED-Risk or Rate Expectations?

Where are the credit issues?

Credit Market Insights: Beige Book Outlook on Credit

Is the Manufacturing Industry in a Recession?  Back-to-back contractionary readings in the ISM manufacturing index and another soft print for industrial production leave no doubt that the manufacturing sector is struggling; but, is activity clearly contracting as would be consistent with an industry recession?

Read the complete commentary here:  weekly-20160115 

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